Qualification · Qualification 14
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
66.36 – 3.47
69%31%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
37 – 101
Prediction missed · off by 63.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 190 ±18.6
Season APEX 113.1Event APEX 8.51Rank 37Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91
10931Silver Talon
Provisional
Season APEX 24.2Event APEX -6.71Rank 39Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 52.7Event APEX 64.56Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 77
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 191.6 ±20.2
4775Aztech Robotics
Provisional
Season APEX 56.1Event APEX -6.86Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 74
4723Prepa Tecmilenio - EARTH - 4723
Provisional
Season APEX 54Event APEX 1.82Rank 21Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 81.5Event APEX 8.51Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 77
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10225, 10931, 6170
53
/ 100 compatProjected
66.4 pts
~1.6 RP (regional)
Teams: 10225, 10931, 6170
Auto
16.3 24%
Teleop
23.7 35%
Endgame
27.1 40%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 23%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4775, 4723, 4584
9
/ 100 compatProjected
3.5 pts
~1.0 RP (regional)
Teams: 4775, 4723, 4584
Auto
-4.9 100%
Teleop
1.4 0%
Endgame
1.9 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 23%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.64 · Blue 0.97
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score66.4pts
Blue projected score3.5pts
Red win probability69%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 23%, blue 30%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 62.9
- Score range
- -14–83
- Upset likelihood
- 31%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
190Season APEX191.6
16.3Auto-4.9
23.7Teleop1.4
27.1Endgame1.9
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 9 | 9 |
| teleop | 11 | 51 |
| endgame | 7 | 41 |
| foul | 10 | 0 |
| total | 37 | 101 |
Result
Final score
37 – 101
Prediction missed · off by 63.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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