Qualification · Qualification 13
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
17.59 – 51.6
40%60%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
23 – 214
Prediction correct · off by 83.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 213.2 ±18.8
9213Tecuani
Provisional
Season APEX 64.8Event APEX 17.14Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74
Season APEX 129Event APEX -1.07Rank 19Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94
6606Prepa Tecmilenio Pink Hawks 6606
Provisional
Season APEX 19.4Event APEX 1.52Rank 40Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 314.5 ±16.7
Season APEX 59.7Event APEX 14.08Rank 16Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 80
Season APEX 219.7Event APEX 23.14Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
3794Prepa Tecmilenio WinT
Provisional
Season APEX 35.1Event APEX 14.38Rank 35Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9213, 6702, 6606
24
/ 100 compatProjected
17.6 pts
~1.1 RP (regional)
Teams: 9213, 6702, 6606
Auto
2.9 21%
Teleop
11.1 82%
Endgame
-0.5 0%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5932, 6017, 3794
46
/ 100 compatProjected
51.6 pts
~1.6 RP (regional)
Teams: 5932, 6017, 3794
Auto
6.4 14%
Teleop
19.6 43%
Endgame
19.8 43%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.15 · Blue 1.6
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score17.6pts
Blue projected score51.6pts
Red win probability40%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 32%, blue 35%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -34
- Score range
- 2–68
- Upset likelihood
- 40%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
213.2Season APEX314.5
2.9Auto6.4
11.1Teleop19.6
-0.5Endgame19.8
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 8 | 47 |
| teleop | 3 | 115 |
| endgame | 12 | 47 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 23 | 214 |
Result
Final score
23 – 214
Prediction correct · off by 83.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.