Qualification · Qualification 12
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
38.42 – 48.54
47%53%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
102 – 65
Prediction missed · off by 40 points
Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 126.3 ±19.2
Season APEX 53.5Event APEX 17.71Rank 13Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 91
10565FARADAY- Prepa Tecmilenio
Provisional
Season APEX 40.6Event APEX 16.29Rank 23Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
9282PrepaTec- SINAVOLT
Provisional
Season APEX 32.2Event APEX 4.42Rank 27Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 301.2 ±15.3
Season APEX 96.7Event APEX 26.18Rank 25Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 43.9Event APEX 17.71Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 160.6Event APEX 4.65Rank 7Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5887, 10565, 9282
36
/ 100 compatProjected
38.4 pts
~1.2 RP (regional)
Teams: 5887, 10565, 9282
Auto
-0.3 0%
Teleop
21.7 60%
Endgame
14.8 41%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 26%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8740, 3480, 11065
49
/ 100 compatProjected
48.5 pts
~1.4 RP (regional)
Teams: 8740, 3480, 11065
Auto
11.7 28%
Teleop
17.3 41%
Endgame
13.2 31%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 26%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.24 · Blue 1.42
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score38.4pts
Blue projected score48.5pts
Red win probability47%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 26%, blue 31%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -10.1
- Score range
- 21–66
- Upset likelihood
- 47%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
126.3Season APEX301.2
-0.3Auto11.7
21.7Teleop17.3
14.8Endgame13.2
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 8 | 19 |
| teleop | 42 | 28 |
| endgame | 47 | 13 |
| foul | 5 | 5 |
| total | 102 | 65 |
Result
Final score
102 – 65
Prediction missed · off by 40 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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