Regional Monterrey presented by PrepaTec

Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

146.89 – 88.27

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

112 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 28.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 424.3 ±14.6

6652Tigres

Season APEX 150.4Event APEX 56.81Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3933PrepaTec - Taman Keet

Season APEX 52.9Event APEX 39.32Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 80

6106PrepaTec - TecGear

Season APEX 221Event APEX 50.76Rank 11Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 264.4 ±18

3794Prepa Tecmilenio WinT

Provisional

Season APEX 35.1Event APEX 12.26Rank 35Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

10931Silver Talon

Provisional

Season APEX 24.2Event APEX -0.78Rank 39Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

7421PrepaTec - OVERTURE

Season APEX 205.1Event APEX 76.79Rank 12Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6652, 3933, 6106

/ 100 compat

Projected

146.9 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 6652, 3933, 6106

Auto

23.8 17%

Teleop

70.6 51%

Endgame

44.0 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3794, 10931, 7421

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.3 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 3794, 10931, 7421

Auto

25.2 30%

Teleop

42.2 49%

Endgame

17.9 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.63 · Blue 0.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score146.9pts

Blue projected score88.3pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 58.6
Score range: 67–168
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 178 vs event baseline 118.6.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

424.3Season APEX264.4

23.8Auto25.2

70.6Teleop42.2

44Endgame17.9

84Consistency53

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	12
teleop	56	18
endgame	37	36
foul	5	0
total	112	66

Result

Final score

112 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 28.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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