Final · Finals 1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
229 – 336.45
21%79%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
245 – 300
Prediction correct · off by 26.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 484.5 ±13.1
Season APEX 219.7Event APEX 119.63Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 205.1Event APEX 78.26Rank 12Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 59.7Event APEX 31.11Rank 16Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 80
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 679.8 ±11.2
Season APEX 247.7Event APEX 169.06Rank 2Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 262Event APEX 163.78Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 170.1Event APEX 3.61Rank 32Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6017, 7421, 5932
82
/ 100 compatProjected
229 pts
~0.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 6017, 7421, 5932
Auto
41.3 18%
Teleop
124.0 55%
Endgame
58.5 26%
Strengths
- · 6017 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3478, 4635, 6200
82
/ 100 compatProjected
336.5 pts
~2.0 RP (regional)
Teams: 3478, 4635, 6200
Auto
75.5 23%
Teleop
186.3 57%
Endgame
67.9 21%
Strengths
- · 3478 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.84 · Blue 1.96
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score229pts
Blue projected score336.5pts
Red win probability21%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 38%, blue 32%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -107.4
- Score range
- 208–357
- Upset likelihood
- 21%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
484.5Season APEX679.8
41.3Auto75.5
124Teleop186.3
58.5Endgame67.9
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 48 | 92 |
| teleop | 89 | 145 |
| endgame | 93 | 48 |
| foul | 15 | 15 |
| total | 245 | 300 |
Result
Final score
245 – 300
Prediction correct · off by 26.2 pts
Match videos
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