Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

219.57 – 183.49

61%39%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

288 – 186

Prediction correct · off by 35.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 592 ±10.4

4087Voodoo Voltage

Season APEX 217.7Event APEX 116.88Rank 3Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10217Catahoula Blue Dogs

Season APEX 169Event APEX 20.89Rank 21Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2556RadioActive Roaches

Season APEX 205.3Event APEX 81.8Rank 6Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 573.7 ±13.3

6998Unipards

Season APEX 246.7Event APEX 59.69Rank 12Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3616Team Phenomena

Season APEX 128.4Event APEX 59.89Rank 34Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3753BulahBots!

Season APEX 198.6Event APEX 63.91Rank 7Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4087, 10217, 2556

/ 100 compat

Projected

219.6 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 4087, 10217, 2556

Auto

37.1 17%

Teleop

134.0 62%

Endgame

46.1 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6998, 3616, 3753

/ 100 compat

Projected

183.5 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 6998, 3616, 3753

Auto

43.0 24%

Teleop

91.5 51%

Endgame

45.3 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.73 · Blue 1.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score219.6pts

Blue projected score183.5pts

Red win probability61%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 36.1
Score range: 158–245
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 474 vs event baseline 136.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

592Season APEX573.7

37.1Auto43

134Teleop91.5

46.1Endgame45.3

15Consistency21

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	51
teleop	139	105
endgame	88	25
foul	20	5
total	288	186

Result

Final score

288 – 186

Prediction correct · off by 35.5 pts

Match videos

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