Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
51.5 – 51.5
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
133 – 58
Prediction correct · off by 44 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 278.6 ±16.9
Season APEX 50.5Event APEX -Rank 25Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 86
11107FARMBots
Provisional
Season APEX 22.8Event APEX -Rank 43Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71
Season APEX 205.3Event APEX -Rank 6Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 256.1 ±17.2
Season APEX 111.3Event APEX -Rank 24Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
10655PHS Spartan Synergy
Provisional
Season APEX 46.9Event APEX -Rank 29Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71
Season APEX 97.9Event APEX -Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2221, 11107, 2556
50
/ 100 compatProjected
51.5 pts
~1.4 RP (regional)
Teams: 2221, 11107, 2556
Auto
15.5 30%
Teleop
25.8 50%
Endgame
10.3 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 40%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7094, 10655, 1421
50
/ 100 compatProjected
51.5 pts
~1.4 RP (regional)
Teams: 7094, 10655, 1421
Auto
15.5 30%
Teleop
25.8 50%
Endgame
10.3 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 40%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.44 · Blue 1.39
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score51.5pts
Blue projected score51.5pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample168alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 40%, blue 35%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 33–71
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
278.6Season APEX256.1
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 31 | 30 |
| teleop | 72 | 11 |
| endgame | 30 | 12 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 133 | 58 |
Result
Final score
133 – 58
Prediction correct · off by 44 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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