Qualification · Qualification 69

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

25.52 – 74.2

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

128 – 53

Prediction missed · off by 61.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 219.2 ±17.7

1421Team CHAOS

Season APEX 97.9Event APEX 8.85Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

11265Rockbotics -FRC

Provisional

Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 6.52Rank 39Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

5045SpartaBot

Season APEX 81.2Event APEX 10.15Rank 22Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 282.3 ±14.5

5863Hypercubed

Season APEX 96.5Event APEX 4.71Rank 40Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

7094Alpha Omega

Season APEX 111.3Event APEX 30.97Rank 24Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9405RouxBots

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 38.52Rank 41Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1421, 11265, 5045

/ 100 compat

Projected

25.5 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 1421, 11265, 5045

Auto

8.0 46%

Teleop

0.7 4%

Endgame

8.8 50%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5863, 7094, 9405

/ 100 compat

Projected

74.2 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 5863, 7094, 9405

Auto

28.7 43%

Teleop

20.5 30%

Endgame

18.2 27%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.01 · Blue 1.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score25.5pts

Blue projected score74.2pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -48.7
Score range: 4–96
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 181 vs event baseline 122.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

219.2Season APEX282.3

8Auto28.7

0.7Teleop20.5

8.8Endgame18.2

121Consistency27

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	18
teleop	43	20
endgame	28	10
foul	40	5
total	128	53

Result

Final score

128 – 53

Prediction missed · off by 61.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.