Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

104.09 – 107.68

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

109 – 127

Prediction correct · off by 12.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 366.7 ±17.7

4336Ramageddon Robotics

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 39.54Rank 15Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92

11107FARMBots

Provisional

Season APEX 22.8Event APEX 10.06Rank 43Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

6998Unipards

Season APEX 246.7Event APEX 54.49Rank 12Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 471.3 ±12.9

9309Metal Mages

Season APEX 72.5Event APEX -1.73Rank 13Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 89

364Team Fusion 364

Season APEX 200.2Event APEX 56.3Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3753BulahBots!

Season APEX 198.6Event APEX 53.11Rank 7Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4336, 11107, 6998

/ 100 compat

Projected

104.1 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 4336, 11107, 6998

Auto

30.5 31%

Teleop

48.9 49%

Endgame

20.1 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9309, 364, 3753

/ 100 compat

Projected

107.7 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 9309, 364, 3753

Auto

24.0 23%

Teleop

62.5 60%

Endgame

17.9 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.36 · Blue 1.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score104.1pts

Blue projected score107.7pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -3.6
Score range: 82–130
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 236 vs event baseline 121.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

366.7Season APEX471.3

30.5Auto24

48.9Teleop62.5

20.1Endgame17.9

101Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	17
teleop	88	67
endgame	4	33
foul	0	10
total	109	127

Result

Final score

109 – 127

Prediction correct · off by 12.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.