Qualification · Qualification 61

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 208.68

7%93%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

52 – 301

Prediction correct · off by 72.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 205.5 ±18.2

5863Hypercubed

Season APEX 96.5Event APEX 1.85Rank 40Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

10943WJH RoboStangs

Season APEX 68.9Event APEX -3.33Rank 26Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 86

11265Rockbotics -FRC

Provisional

Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 1.35Rank 39Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 599.8 ±11.7

6184C4 (Capital City Chaotic Coders)

Season APEX 111.5Event APEX 67.72Rank 11Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2992The S.S. Prometheus

Season APEX 264.7Event APEX 83.79Rank 8Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8808SWLA Tech Pirates

Season APEX 223.6Event APEX 57.17Rank 19Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5863, 10943, 11265

/ 100 compat

Projected

-0.1 pts

~0.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 5863, 10943, 11265

Auto

5.1 0%

Teleop

-12.0 100%

Endgame

3.6 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6184, 2992, 8808

/ 100 compat

Projected

208.7 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 6184, 2992, 8808

Auto

22.3 11%

Teleop

133.0 65%

Endgame

50.5 25%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.41 · Blue 2.38

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score-0.1pts

Blue projected score208.7pts

Red win probability7%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -208.7
Score range: -22–231
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 353 vs event baseline 119.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

205.5Season APEX599.8

5.1Auto22.3

-12Teleop133

3.6Endgame50.5

49Consistency6

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	22
teleop	15	212
endgame	6	47
foul	10	20
total	52	301

Result

Final score

52 – 301

Prediction correct · off by 72.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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