Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

49.28 – 72.68

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

41 – 93

Prediction correct · off by 14.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 261.9 ±20

590Chahta Warriors

Provisional

Season APEX 102.4Event APEX 35.06Rank 23Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

4107Team Storm

Season APEX 105.7Event APEX 8.48Rank 35Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11345Long Beach RoboBearcats

Provisional

Season APEX 53.8Event APEX 5.74Rank 28Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 246.1 ±17.7

1421Team CHAOS

Season APEX 97.9Event APEX 8.42Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

4336Ramageddon Robotics

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 36.16Rank 15Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92

1927Tempest

Provisional

Season APEX 51Event APEX 28.1Rank 30Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 590, 4107, 11345

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.3 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 590, 4107, 11345

Auto

23.5 52%

Teleop

10.1 22%

Endgame

12.0 26%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1421, 4336, 1927

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.7 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 1421, 4336, 1927

Auto

22.8 35%

Teleop

26.6 41%

Endgame

14.9 23%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.19 · Blue 1.54

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score49.3pts

Blue projected score72.7pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -23.4
Score range: 27–95
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-17
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 134 vs event baseline 120.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

261.9Season APEX246.1

23.5Auto22.8

10.1Teleop26.6

12Endgame14.9

63Consistency78

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	21
teleop	11	47
endgame	8	25
foul	0	0
total	41	93

Result

Final score

41 – 93

Prediction correct · off by 14.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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