Qualification · Qualification 36
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
0 – 65.09
30%70%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
136 – 102
Prediction missed · off by 86.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 390.7 ±13.5
Season APEX 205.3Event APEX 35.1Rank 6Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 112.9Event APEX -19.41Rank 31Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Season APEX 72.5Event APEX -17.39Rank 13Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 89
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 304.5 ±16.9
Season APEX 69.5Event APEX -1.68Rank 27Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 86
Season APEX 200.2Event APEX 54.12Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
10309Jayhawks Robotics
Provisional
Season APEX 34.8Event APEX 12.65Rank 46Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2556, 9153, 9309
10
/ 100 compatProjected
-1.7 pts
~1.0 RP (regional)
Teams: 2556, 9153, 9309
Auto
16.2 100%
Teleop
-3.6 0%
Endgame
-3.2 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 35%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10929, 364, 10309
38
/ 100 compatProjected
65.1 pts
~1.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 10929, 364, 10309
Auto
8.8 14%
Teleop
43.1 71%
Endgame
9.1 15%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 35%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1 · Blue 1.78
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score-1.7pts
Blue projected score65.1pts
Red win probability30%
Event bonus sample168alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 35%, blue 34%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -65.1
- Score range
- -21–86
- Upset likelihood
- 30%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
390.7Season APEX304.5
16.2Auto8.8
-3.6Teleop43.1
-3.2Endgame9.1
206Consistency60
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 30 | 49 |
| teleop | 64 | 42 |
| endgame | 37 | 6 |
| foul | 5 | 5 |
| total | 136 | 102 |
Result
Final score
136 – 102
Prediction missed · off by 86.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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