FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship

Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

598.61 – 406.47

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

744 – 335

Prediction correct · off by 108.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 836.1 ±8.7

316LUNATECS

A+

Season APEX 329.3Event APEX 273.92Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2607The Fighting RoboVikings

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 99.56Rank 27Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2539Krypton Cougars

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 225.13Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 633 ±9.3

341Miss Daisy

Season APEX 278.9Event APEX 171.59Rank 6Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5401Fightin' Robotic Owls

Season APEX 132.9Event APEX 92.67Rank 15Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1676The Pascack PI-oneers

Season APEX 221.2Event APEX 142.21Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 316, 2607, 2539

/ 100 compat

Projected

598.6 pts

~2.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 316, 2607, 2539

Auto

117.6 20%

Teleop

328.3 56%

Endgame

144.3 24%

Strengths

· 316 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 35%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 341, 5401, 1676

/ 100 compat

Projected

406.5 pts

~0.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 341, 5401, 1676

Auto

83.2 21%

Teleop

223.5 57%

Endgame

85.8 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 35%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.75 · Blue 0.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score598.6pts

Blue projected score406.5pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample294alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 35%, blue 16%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 192.1
Score range: 357–648
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 1079 vs event baseline 271.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

836.1Season APEX633

117.6Auto83.2

328.3Teleop223.5

144.3Endgame85.8

43Consistency110

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	159	76
teleop	386	143
endgame	199	116
foul	0	0
total	744	335

Result

Final score

744 – 335

Prediction correct · off by 108.4 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.