FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship

Qualification · Qualification 91

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

154.13 – 144.27

53%47%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

227 – 151

Prediction correct · off by 39.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 313.9 ±10.4

222Tigertrons

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 60.45Rank 45Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6921Technados

Season APEX 110.3Event APEX 69.13Rank 24Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8075CyberTigers

Season APEX 96.8Event APEX 24.55Rank 38Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 411 ±9.8

10979Tiger Robotics

Season APEX 180.2Event APEX 56.91Rank 56Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7587Metuchen Momentum

Season APEX 108.6Event APEX 33.72Rank 57Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

708Hatters Robotics

Season APEX 122.2Event APEX 53.64Rank 51Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 222, 6921, 8075

/ 100 compat

Projected

154.1 pts

~1.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 222, 6921, 8075

Auto

49.3 32%

Teleop

56.1 36%

Endgame

49.1 32%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10979, 7587, 708

/ 100 compat

Projected

144.3 pts

~1.4 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 10979, 7587, 708

Auto

15.8 12%

Teleop

80.0 58%

Endgame

41.4 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.71 · Blue 1.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score154.1pts

Blue projected score144.3pts

Red win probability53%

Event bonus sample294alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 9.9
Score range: 96–202
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 378 vs event baseline 264.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

313.9Season APEX411

49.3Auto15.8

56.1Teleop80

49.1Endgame41.4

66Consistency83

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	32
teleop	135	70
endgame	50	49
foul	5	0
total	227	151

Result

Final score

227 – 151

Prediction correct · off by 39.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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