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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

134.31134.31

50%50%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

113332

Prediction missed · off by 109.5 points

Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 272.1 ±10.4
Season APEX 85.3Event APEX -Rank 42Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 108.6Event APEX -Rank 57Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 78.2Event APEX -Rank 60Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 603.3 ±9.3
Season APEX 235.3Event APEX -Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 304.2Event APEX -Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 63.8Event APEX -Rank 65Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10157, 7587, 427
50
/ 100 compat
Projected
134.3 pts
~1.4 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 10157, 7587, 427
Auto
40.3 30%
Teleop
67.2 50%
Endgame
26.9 20%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1218, 8513, 10949
50
/ 100 compat
Projected
134.3 pts
~1.7 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 1218, 8513, 10949
Auto
40.3 30%
Teleop
67.2 50%
Endgame
26.9 20%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.44 · Blue 1.7
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score134.3pts
Blue projected score134.3pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample294alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 32%, blue 48%
Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 20%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
0
Score range
86182
Upset likelihood
50%
Data cutoff
2026-08-16
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 445 vs event baseline 268.6.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

272.1Season APEX603.3
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto1354
teleop59211
endgame4167
foul00
total113332

Result

Final score

113332

Prediction missed · off by 109.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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