Qualification · Qualification 9
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
134.31 – 134.31
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
113 – 332
Prediction missed · off by 109.5 points
Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 272.1 ±10.4
Season APEX 85.3Event APEX -Rank 42Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 108.6Event APEX -Rank 57Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 78.2Event APEX -Rank 60Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 603.3 ±9.3
Season APEX 235.3Event APEX -Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 304.2Event APEX -Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 63.8Event APEX -Rank 65Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10157, 7587, 427
50
/ 100 compatProjected
134.3 pts
~1.4 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 10157, 7587, 427
Auto
40.3 30%
Teleop
67.2 50%
Endgame
26.9 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1218, 8513, 10949
50
/ 100 compatProjected
134.3 pts
~1.7 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 1218, 8513, 10949
Auto
40.3 30%
Teleop
67.2 50%
Endgame
26.9 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.44 · Blue 1.7
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score134.3pts
Blue projected score134.3pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample294alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 32%, blue 48%
Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 20%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 86–182
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
272.1Season APEX603.3
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 13 | 54 |
| teleop | 59 | 211 |
| endgame | 41 | 67 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 113 | 332 |
Result
Final score
113 – 332
Prediction missed · off by 109.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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