FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship

Qualification · Qualification 83

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

134.56 – 137.7

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

145 – 210

Prediction correct · off by 41.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 276.4 ±10.4

5438Technological Terrors

Season APEX 135.5Event APEX 100.73Rank 20Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10584Ridge Robotics

Season APEX 85.7Event APEX 17.69Rank 55Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2554The Warhawks

Season APEX 55.2Event APEX 16.14Rank 66Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 310.3 ±9.8

486Positronic Panthers

Season APEX 81.1Event APEX 54.77Rank 25Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

708Hatters Robotics

Season APEX 122.2Event APEX 40.34Rank 51Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

56R.O.B.B.E.

Season APEX 107Event APEX 42.59Rank 40Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5438, 10584, 2554

/ 100 compat

Projected

134.6 pts

~1.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 5438, 10584, 2554

Auto

31.0 23%

Teleop

56.1 42%

Endgame

45.0 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 486, 708, 56

/ 100 compat

Projected

137.7 pts

~1.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 486, 708, 56

Auto

25.5 19%

Teleop

94.7 69%

Endgame

17.2 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.5 · Blue 1.54

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score134.6pts

Blue projected score137.7pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample294alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -3.1
Score range: 87–186
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 355 vs event baseline 266.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

276.4Season APEX310.3

31Auto25.5

56.1Teleop94.7

45Endgame17.2

54Consistency114

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	27
teleop	93	87
endgame	22	96
foul	0	0
total	145	210

Result

Final score

145 – 210

Prediction correct · off by 41.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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