FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship

Qualification · Qualification 78

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

376.77 – 234.02

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

308 – 259

Prediction correct · off by 46.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 601.4 ±9.3

10993EP Robotics

Season APEX 92.7Event APEX 71.69Rank 28Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

272Cyber Crusaders

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 147.07Rank 14Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5895Peddie Robotics

Season APEX 264.5Event APEX 158.01Rank 9Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 495.5 ±9.8

7587Metuchen Momentum

Season APEX 108.6Event APEX 22.93Rank 57Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1923The MidKnight Inventors

Season APEX 108.4Event APEX 48.84Rank 48Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1640Sab-BOT-age

Season APEX 278.5Event APEX 162.25Rank 13Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10993, 272, 5895

/ 100 compat

Projected

376.8 pts

~2.4 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 10993, 272, 5895

Auto

85.1 22%

Teleop

228.0 60%

Endgame

67.5 18%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7587, 1923, 1640

/ 100 compat

Projected

234 pts

~0.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 7587, 1923, 1640

Auto

46.5 20%

Teleop

136.8 60%

Endgame

43.8 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.4 · Blue 0.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score376.8pts

Blue projected score234pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample294alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 142.7
Score range: 186–425
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 567 vs event baseline 264.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

601.4Season APEX495.5

85.1Auto46.5

228Teleop136.8

67.5Endgame43.8

62Consistency98

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	103	62
teleop	156	156
endgame	49	41
foul	0	0
total	308	259

Result

Final score

308 – 259

Prediction correct · off by 46.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.