FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship

Qualification · Qualification 73

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

224.69 – 373.39

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

298 – 407

Prediction correct · off by 53.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 471.4 ±9.8

341Miss Daisy

Season APEX 278.9Event APEX 153.8Rank 6Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10584Ridge Robotics

Season APEX 85.7Event APEX 12.71Rank 55Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

222Tigertrons

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 58.18Rank 45Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 650.5 ±9.3

1403Team 1403 Cougar Robotics

Season APEX 265.7Event APEX 189.35Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

423Simple Machines

Season APEX 95.1Event APEX 9.55Rank 37Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

484Roboforce

Season APEX 289.7Event APEX 174.49Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 341, 10584, 222

/ 100 compat

Projected

224.7 pts

~0.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 341, 10584, 222

Auto

47.6 22%

Teleop

123.2 56%

Endgame

49.4 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1403, 423, 484

/ 100 compat

Projected

373.4 pts

~2.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1403, 423, 484

Auto

69.3 18%

Teleop

245.2 65%

Endgame

64.6 17%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.87 · Blue 2.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score224.7pts

Blue projected score373.4pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample294alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 31%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -148.7
Score range: 178–420
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 705 vs event baseline 261.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

471.4Season APEX650.5

47.6Auto69.3

123.2Teleop245.2

49.4Endgame64.6

55Consistency111

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	65	67
teleop	157	244
endgame	71	96
foul	5	0
total	298	407

Result

Final score

298 – 407

Prediction correct · off by 53.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.