FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship

Qualification · Qualification 69

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

136.22 – 443.54

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

215 – 590

Prediction correct · off by 112.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 278.4 ±10.4

10993EP Robotics

Season APEX 92.7Event APEX 64.8Rank 28Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1672Robo T-Birds

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 51.32Rank 59Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7587Metuchen Momentum

Season APEX 108.6Event APEX 20.1Rank 57Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 777.5 ±8.7

9094The Earthquakers

Season APEX 256Event APEX 149.24Rank 11Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

316LUNATECS

A+

Season APEX 329.3Event APEX 237.87Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5181Explorer Robotics

Season APEX 192.2Event APEX 56.43Rank 43Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10993, 1672, 7587

/ 100 compat

Projected

136.2 pts

~0.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 10993, 1672, 7587

Auto

21.7 17%

Teleop

63.2 48%

Endgame

45.6 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9094, 316, 5181

/ 100 compat

Projected

443.5 pts

~2.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 9094, 316, 5181

Auto

60.1 14%

Teleop

247.7 56%

Endgame

135.4 31%

Strengths

· 316 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.52 · Blue 2.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score136.2pts

Blue projected score443.5pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample294alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 21%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -307.3
Score range: 89–491
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 805 vs event baseline 259.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

278.4Season APEX777.5

21.7Auto60.1

63.2Teleop247.7

45.6Endgame135.4

105Consistency139

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	116
teleop	162	336
endgame	32	133
foul	0	5
total	215	590

Result

Final score

215 – 590

Prediction correct · off by 112.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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