FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship

Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

368.09 – 380.44

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

288 – 458

Prediction correct · off by 78.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 615.5 ±9.3

1391The Metal Moose

Season APEX 244.7Event APEX 127.48Rank 19Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

486Positronic Panthers

Season APEX 81.1Event APEX 67.1Rank 25Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

484Roboforce

Season APEX 289.7Event APEX 173.51Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 664.1 ±9.3

2539Krypton Cougars

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 190.56Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8075CyberTigers

Season APEX 96.8Event APEX 4.65Rank 38Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1403Team 1403 Cougar Robotics

Season APEX 265.7Event APEX 185.23Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1391, 486, 484

/ 100 compat

Projected

368.1 pts

~1.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1391, 486, 484

Auto

63.6 17%

Teleop

228.1 62%

Endgame

75.0 20%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 23%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2539, 8075, 1403

/ 100 compat

Projected

380.4 pts

~2.0 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 2539, 8075, 1403

Auto

62.1 16%

Teleop

244.3 63%

Endgame

79.1 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 23%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.72 · Blue 1.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score368.1pts

Blue projected score380.4pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample294alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 23%, blue 30%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -12.4
Score range: 322–426
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 746 vs event baseline 256.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

615.5Season APEX664.1

63.6Auto62.1

228.1Teleop244.3

75Endgame79.1

142Consistency167

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	57	78
teleop	174	285
endgame	57	95
foul	0	0
total	288	458

Result

Final score

288 – 458

Prediction correct · off by 78.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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