FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship

Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

179.53 – 387.81

7%93%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

84 – 249

Prediction correct · off by 117.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 423.3 ±9.8

7587Metuchen Momentum

Season APEX 108.6Event APEX 24.07Rank 57Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7045MCCrusaders

Season APEX 117.3Event APEX 90.55Rank 32Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1807Redbird Robotics

Season APEX 197.4Event APEX 64.91Rank 34Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 511.2 ±9.8

5401Fightin' Robotic Owls

Season APEX 132.9Event APEX 131.68Rank 15Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5895Peddie Robotics

Season APEX 264.5Event APEX 157.36Rank 9Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

365Miracle Workerz

Season APEX 113.8Event APEX 98.77Rank 26Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7587, 7045, 1807

/ 100 compat

Projected

179.5 pts

~0.6 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 7587, 7045, 1807

Auto

28.8 16%

Teleop

92.3 51%

Endgame

59.7 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5401, 5895, 365

/ 100 compat

Projected

387.8 pts

~2.6 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 5401, 5895, 365

Auto

69.7 18%

Teleop

226.3 59%

Endgame

88.5 23%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.64 · Blue 2.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score179.5pts

Blue projected score387.8pts

Red win probability7%

Event bonus sample294alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 20%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -208.3
Score range: 133–435
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 333 vs event baseline 259.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

423.3Season APEX511.2

28.8Auto69.7

92.3Teleop226.3

59.7Endgame88.5

99Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	56	33
teleop	1	117
endgame	7	99
foul	20	0
total	84	249

Result

Final score

84 – 249

Prediction correct · off by 117.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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