FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship

Qualification · Qualification 53

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

370.01 – 76.53

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

423 – 62

Prediction correct · off by 33.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 645 ±9.3

3637The Daleks

Season APEX 241.5Event APEX 144.17Rank 17Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

365Miracle Workerz

Season APEX 113.8Event APEX 88.22Rank 26Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

484Roboforce

Season APEX 289.7Event APEX 137.62Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 263.9 ±10.4

7110Heights Bytes

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX -21.9Rank 63Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2016Mighty Monkey Wrenches

Season APEX 83.7Event APEX 50.59Rank 44Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

75RoboRaiders

Season APEX 128.7Event APEX 47.84Rank 23Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3637, 365, 484

/ 100 compat

Projected

370 pts

~2.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 3637, 365, 484

Auto

55.2 15%

Teleop

211.2 58%

Endgame

99.7 27%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 28%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7110, 2016, 75

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.5 pts

~0.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 7110, 2016, 75

Auto

8.3 11%

Teleop

29.6 39%

Endgame

37.5 50%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 28%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.84 · Blue 0.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score370pts

Blue projected score76.5pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample294alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 28%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 293.5
Score range: 29–418
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 485 vs event baseline 264.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

645Season APEX263.9

55.2Auto8.3

211.2Teleop29.6

99.7Endgame37.5

137Consistency158

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	65	19
teleop	267	24
endgame	91	19
foul	0	0
total	423	62

Result

Final score

423 – 62

Prediction correct · off by 33.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.