FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship

Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

192.85 – 227.03

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

203 – 270

Prediction correct · off by 26.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 366.2 ±9.8

25Raider Robotix

Season APEX 119.8Event APEX 90.73Rank 39Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

708Hatters Robotics

Season APEX 122.2Event APEX 17.94Rank 51Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

293SPIKE

Season APEX 124.2Event APEX 84.18Rank 31Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 439.2 ±9.8

1168Malvern Robotics

Season APEX 79.2Event APEX 36.72Rank 35Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3637The Daleks

Season APEX 241.5Event APEX 132.39Rank 17Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

555Montclair Robotics

Season APEX 118.5Event APEX 57.92Rank 21Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 25, 708, 293

/ 100 compat

Projected

192.9 pts

~1.3 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 25, 708, 293

Auto

44.5 23%

Teleop

90.4 48%

Endgame

54.5 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1168, 3637, 555

/ 100 compat

Projected

227 pts

~1.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1168, 3637, 555

Auto

44.6 20%

Teleop

155.1 69%

Endgame

26.5 12%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.34 · Blue 1.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score192.9pts

Blue projected score227pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample294alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -34.2
Score range: 146–274
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 473 vs event baseline 258.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

366.2Season APEX439.2

44.5Auto44.6

90.4Teleop155.1

54.5Endgame26.5

72Consistency172

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	64
teleop	108	124
endgame	59	77
foul	15	5
total	203	270

Result

Final score

203 – 270

Prediction correct · off by 26.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.