FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship

Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

182.62 – 128.09

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

324 – 294

Prediction correct · off by 153.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 464.1 ±9.8

193MORT Beta

Season APEX 150.3Event APEX 133.17Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7587Metuchen Momentum

Season APEX 108.6Event APEX -0.82Rank 57Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2607The Fighting RoboVikings

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 50.27Rank 27Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 431.1 ±9.8

2554The Warhawks

Season APEX 55.2Event APEX 38.36Rank 66Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

223Xtreme Heat

Season APEX 99.2Event APEX 6.34Rank 46Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

103Cybersonics

Season APEX 276.7Event APEX 83.39Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 193, 7587, 2607

/ 100 compat

Projected

182.6 pts

~1.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 193, 7587, 2607

Auto

34.3 18%

Teleop

78.7 42%

Endgame

73.0 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2554, 223, 103

/ 100 compat

Projected

128.1 pts

~1.3 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 2554, 223, 103

Auto

36.7 29%

Teleop

45.0 36%

Endgame

43.0 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.9 · Blue 1.25

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score182.6pts

Blue projected score128.1pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample294alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 54.5
Score range: 81–230
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 618 vs event baseline 261.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

464.1Season APEX431.1

34.3Auto36.7

78.7Teleop45

73Endgame43

90Consistency150

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	53
teleop	173	157
endgame	101	79
foul	5	5
total	324	294

Result

Final score

324 – 294

Prediction correct · off by 153.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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