FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship

Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

62.08 – 219.79

12%88%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

129 – 372

Prediction correct · off by 109.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 267.8 ±10.4

427LANCE-A-LOT

Season APEX 78.2Event APEX 86.59Rank 60Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9027PATH to Domination

Season APEX 81.2Event APEX 8.63Rank 49Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1923The MidKnight Inventors

Season APEX 108.4Event APEX -33.14Rank 48Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 469.8 ±9.3

433Firebirds

Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 47.28Rank 54Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10157Roman Robotics

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 43.03Rank 42Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2539Krypton Cougars

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 129.48Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 427, 9027, 1923

/ 100 compat

Projected

62.1 pts

~0.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 427, 9027, 1923

Auto

15.0 25%

Teleop

16.4 27%

Endgame

28.4 47%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 433, 10157, 2539

/ 100 compat

Projected

219.8 pts

~2.4 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 433, 10157, 2539

Auto

24.6 11%

Teleop

140.8 65%

Endgame

52.6 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.78 · Blue 2.42

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score62.1pts

Blue projected score219.8pts

Red win probability12%

Event bonus sample294alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 18%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -157.7
Score range: 15–267
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 501 vs event baseline 261.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

267.8Season APEX469.8

15Auto24.6

16.4Teleop140.8

28.4Endgame52.6

136Consistency204

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	19
teleop	70	246
endgame	25	107
foul	0	0
total	129	372

Result

Final score

129 – 372

Prediction correct · off by 109.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.