FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship

Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

161.65 – 206.33

36%64%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

80 – 371

Prediction correct · off by 123.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 349.4 ±9.8

5113Combustible Lemons

Season APEX 62.6Event APEX 33.53Rank 61Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7110Heights Bytes

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 27.17Rank 63Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1218SCH Robotics

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 100.95Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 502.8 ±9.8

7045MCCrusaders

Season APEX 117.3Event APEX -21.8Rank 32Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

56R.O.B.B.E.

Season APEX 107Event APEX 73.02Rank 40Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1640Sab-BOT-age

Season APEX 278.5Event APEX 155.11Rank 13Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5113, 7110, 1218

/ 100 compat

Projected

161.7 pts

~1.2 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 5113, 7110, 1218

Auto

13.1 8%

Teleop

112.5 72%

Endgame

30.0 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7045, 56, 1640

/ 100 compat

Projected

206.3 pts

~1.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 7045, 56, 1640

Auto

12.6 6%

Teleop

151.8 72%

Endgame

45.1 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.23 · Blue 1.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score161.7pts

Blue projected score206.3pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample294alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 17%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -44.7
Score range: 116–252
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 451 vs event baseline 257.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

349.4Season APEX502.8

13.1Auto12.6

112.5Teleop151.8

30Endgame45.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	71
teleop	34	206
endgame	13	94
foul	0	0
total	80	371

Result

Final score

80 – 371

Prediction correct · off by 123.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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