FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship

Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

332.94 – 273.79

68%32%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

201 – 118

Prediction correct · off by 143.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 482.5 ±9.8

555Montclair Robotics

Season APEX 118.5Event APEX 88.67Rank 21Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

25Raider Robotix

Season APEX 119.8Event APEX 89.04Rank 39Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

272Cyber Crusaders

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 155.23Rank 14Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 453.1 ±9.8

1807Redbird Robotics

Season APEX 197.4Event APEX 76.97Rank 34Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8117Easton RoboRovers

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 116.05Rank 62Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10979Tiger Robotics

Season APEX 180.2Event APEX 80.77Rank 56Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 555, 25, 272

/ 100 compat

Projected

332.9 pts

~2.0 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 555, 25, 272

Auto

69.4 21%

Teleop

172.6 52%

Endgame

88.2 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1807, 8117, 10979

/ 100 compat

Projected

273.8 pts

~1.0 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1807, 8117, 10979

Auto

29.2 11%

Teleop

149.4 54%

Endgame

97.9 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.02 · Blue 1.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score332.9pts

Blue projected score273.8pts

Red win probability68%

Event bonus sample294alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 59.1
Score range: 227–380
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 319 vs event baseline 263.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

482.5Season APEX453.1

69.4Auto29.2

172.6Teleop149.4

88.2Endgame97.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	19
teleop	109	51
endgame	32	48
foul	0	0
total	201	118

Result

Final score

201 – 118

Prediction correct · off by 143.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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