Qualification · Qualification 28
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
95.4 – 266.97
11%89%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
84 – 258
Prediction correct · off by 10.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 254.3 ±10.4
Season APEX 108.4Event APEX -22.24Rank 48Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 63.76Rank 50Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 86.5Event APEX 53.88Rank 47Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 388.1 ±10.4
Season APEX 128.7Event APEX 90.7Rank 23Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 150.8Event APEX 164.02Rank 30Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 108.6Event APEX 12.25Rank 57Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1923, 9015, 10918
41
/ 100 compatProjected
95.4 pts
~0.7 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 1923, 9015, 10918
Auto
20.7 22%
Teleop
59.2 62%
Endgame
15.8 17%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 34%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 75, 4285, 7587
71
/ 100 compatProjected
267 pts
~2.3 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 75, 4285, 7587
Auto
58.4 21%
Teleop
136.8 50%
Endgame
76.6 28%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 34%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.65 · Blue 2.34
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score95.4pts
Blue projected score267pts
Red win probability11%
Event bonus sample294alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 34%, blue 44%
Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 10%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -171.6
- Score range
- 48–314
- Upset likelihood
- 11%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
254.3Season APEX388.1
20.7Auto58.4
59.2Teleop136.8
15.8Endgame76.6
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 27 | 5 |
| teleop | 52 | 154 |
| endgame | 5 | 99 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 84 | 258 |
Result
Final score
84 – 258
Prediction correct · off by 10.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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