FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship

Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

163.51 – 244.14

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

234 – 280

Prediction correct · off by 53.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 466.6 ±9.8

1672Robo T-Birds

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 47.87Rank 59Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8513Sisters 1st

A+

Season APEX 304.2Event APEX 92.97Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10157Roman Robotics

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 22.67Rank 42Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 473.8 ±9.8

5438Technological Terrors

Season APEX 135.5Event APEX 65.55Rank 20Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8075CyberTigers

Season APEX 96.8Event APEX 23.88Rank 38Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3637The Daleks

Season APEX 241.5Event APEX 154.71Rank 17Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1672, 8513, 10157

/ 100 compat

Projected

163.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1672, 8513, 10157

Auto

26.3 17%

Teleop

89.3 57%

Endgame

40.7 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5438, 8075, 3637

/ 100 compat

Projected

244.1 pts

~2.1 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 5438, 8075, 3637

Auto

45.3 19%

Teleop

156.9 64%

Endgame

41.2 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.11 · Blue 2.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score163.5pts

Blue projected score244.1pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample294alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 17%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -80.6
Score range: 117–291
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 514 vs event baseline 260.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

466.6Season APEX473.8

26.3Auto45.3

89.3Teleop156.9

40.7Endgame41.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	55
teleop	148	140
endgame	71	85
foul	0	0
total	234	280

Result

Final score

234 – 280

Prediction correct · off by 53.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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