FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship

Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

337.34 – 157.6

90%10%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

408 – 315

Prediction correct · off by 114 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 635.1 ±9.3

293SPIKE

Season APEX 124.2Event APEX 80.03Rank 31Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

484Roboforce

Season APEX 289.7Event APEX 110.71Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1676The Pascack PI-oneers

Season APEX 221.2Event APEX 146.6Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 436.7 ±9.8

427LANCE-A-LOT

Season APEX 78.2Event APEX 45.25Rank 60Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

365Miracle Workerz

Season APEX 113.8Event APEX 69.2Rank 26Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1391The Metal Moose

Season APEX 244.7Event APEX 43.15Rank 19Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 293, 484, 1676

/ 100 compat

Projected

337.3 pts

~2.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 293, 484, 1676

Auto

72.4 21%

Teleop

173.8 51%

Endgame

92.1 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 30%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 427, 365, 1391

/ 100 compat

Projected

157.6 pts

~0.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 427, 365, 1391

Auto

20.7 14%

Teleop

92.8 61%

Endgame

39.2 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 30%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.67 · Blue 0.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score337.3pts

Blue projected score157.6pts

Red win probability90%

Event bonus sample294alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 30%, blue 23%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 179.7
Score range: 112–383
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 723 vs event baseline 255.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

635.1Season APEX436.7

72.4Auto20.7

173.8Teleop92.8

92.1Endgame39.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	90	43
teleop	209	146
endgame	99	126
foul	10	0
total	408	315

Result

Final score

408 – 315

Prediction correct · off by 114 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.