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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship

Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

119.95 – 56.61

69%31%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

229 – 156

Prediction correct · off by 104.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 388.1 ±9.8
1807Redbird Robotics
B
Season APEX 197.4Event APEX 40.04Rank 34Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
56R.O.B.B.E.
C
Season APEX 107Event APEX 42.89Rank 40Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
2016Mighty Monkey Wrenches
C
Season APEX 83.7Event APEX 37.02Rank 44Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 281 ±9.8
4575Gemini
C
Season APEX 84.5Event APEX 30.1Rank 53Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
1168Malvern Robotics
D
Season APEX 79.2Event APEX 37.02Rank 35Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
7045MCCrusaders
C
Season APEX 117.3Event APEX -10.51Rank 32Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1807, 56, 2016
39
/ 100 compat
Projected
120 pts
~1.9 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 1807, 56, 2016
Auto
0.7 1%
Teleop
63.5 51%
Endgame
59.3 48%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 35%
Supercharged: 13%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4575, 1168, 7045
34
/ 100 compat
Projected
56.6 pts
~1.1 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 4575, 1168, 7045
Auto
7.2 12%
Teleop
28.7 49%
Endgame
22.5 39%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 35%
Supercharged: 13%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.88 · Blue 1.14
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score120pts
Blue projected score56.6pts
Red win probability69%
Event bonus sample294alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 35%, blue 38%
Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 11%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
63.3
Score range
10–167
Upset likelihood
31%
Data cutoff
2026-08-16
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 385 vs event baseline 258.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

388.1Season APEX281
0.7Auto7.2
63.5Teleop28.7
59.3Endgame22.5
0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto1636
teleop146101
endgame6719
foul00
total229156

Result

Final score

229 – 156

Prediction correct · off by 104.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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