FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship

Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

100.18 – 124.11

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

139 – 244

Prediction correct · off by 79.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 309.9 ±10.4

7110Heights Bytes

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 17.97Rank 63Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1089Team Mercury

Season APEX 150Event APEX 94.39Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1923The MidKnight Inventors

Season APEX 108.4Event APEX -12.18Rank 48Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 435.5 ±9.8

341Miss Daisy

Season APEX 278.9Event APEX 47.02Rank 6Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

486Positronic Panthers

Season APEX 81.1Event APEX 20.29Rank 25Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8117Easton RoboRovers

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 56.8Rank 62Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7110, 1089, 1923

/ 100 compat

Projected

100.2 pts

~1.4 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 7110, 1089, 1923

Auto

8.9 9%

Teleop

59.1 59%

Endgame

32.4 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 341, 486, 8117

/ 100 compat

Projected

124.1 pts

~1.6 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 341, 486, 8117

Auto

19.3 15%

Teleop

79.3 63%

Endgame

26.8 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.39 · Blue 1.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score100.2pts

Blue projected score124.1pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample294alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -23.9
Score range: 53–171
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 383 vs event baseline 261.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

309.9Season APEX435.5

8.9Auto19.3

59.1Teleop79.3

32.4Endgame26.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	53	39
teleop	75	126
endgame	11	79
foul	0	0
total	139	244

Result

Final score

139 – 244

Prediction correct · off by 79.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.