FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship

Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

277.51 – 168.24

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

421 – 373

Prediction correct · off by 174.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 651.4 ±9.3

1640Sab-BOT-age

Season APEX 278.5Event APEX 98.61Rank 13Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

272Cyber Crusaders

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 115.19Rank 14Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

75RoboRaiders

Season APEX 128.7Event APEX 63.71Rank 23Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 472.2 ±9.8

10949Metalheads

Season APEX 63.8Event APEX 66.1Rank 65Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

222Tigertrons

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 15.16Rank 45Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2539Krypton Cougars

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 86.98Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1640, 272, 75

/ 100 compat

Projected

277.5 pts

~2.3 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1640, 272, 75

Auto

52.4 19%

Teleop

160.7 58%

Endgame

64.3 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10949, 222, 2539

/ 100 compat

Projected

168.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 10949, 222, 2539

Auto

15.8 9%

Teleop

108.6 64%

Endgame

46.6 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.32 · Blue 1.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score277.5pts

Blue projected score168.2pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample294alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 24%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 109.3
Score range: 122–324
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 794 vs event baseline 254.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

651.4Season APEX472.2

52.4Auto15.8

160.7Teleop108.6

64.3Endgame46.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	59	79
teleop	229	243
endgame	133	51
foul	0	0
total	421	373

Result

Final score

421 – 373

Prediction correct · off by 174.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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