FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship

Qualification · Qualification 17

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

151.4 – 227.2

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

245 – 291

Prediction correct · off by 78.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 414.5 ±9.3

433Firebirds

Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 40Rank 54Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1712Dawgma

Season APEX 100Event APEX 17.33Rank 52Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2590Nemesis

Season APEX 231.6Event APEX 94.07Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 523.1 ±9.8

7587Metuchen Momentum

Season APEX 108.6Event APEX 5.44Rank 57Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8513Sisters 1st

A+

Season APEX 304.2Event APEX 94.86Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6921Technados

Season APEX 110.3Event APEX 126.9Rank 24Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 433, 1712, 2590

/ 100 compat

Projected

151.4 pts

~1.2 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 433, 1712, 2590

Auto

15.8 11%

Teleop

96.6 65%

Endgame

37.2 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7587, 8513, 6921

/ 100 compat

Projected

227.2 pts

~2.1 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 7587, 8513, 6921

Auto

30.9 13%

Teleop

134.4 59%

Endgame

64.1 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.18 · Blue 2.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score151.4pts

Blue projected score227.2pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample294alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -75.8
Score range: 105–273
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 536 vs event baseline 258.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

414.5Season APEX523.1

15.8Auto30.9

96.6Teleop134.4

37.2Endgame64.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	70	65
teleop	118	113
endgame	57	113
foul	0	0
total	245	291

Result

Final score

245 – 291

Prediction correct · off by 78.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.