FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship

Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

78.28 – 222.05

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

181 – 283

Prediction correct · off by 81.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 402.8 ±9.8

365Miracle Workerz

Season APEX 113.8Event APEX 42.18Rank 26Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5181Explorer Robotics

Season APEX 192.2Event APEX 34Rank 43Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8075CyberTigers

Season APEX 96.8Event APEX 2.1Rank 38Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 556.3 ±9.3

2607The Fighting RoboVikings

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 99.77Rank 27Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

423Simple Machines

Season APEX 95.1Event APEX 73.14Rank 37Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9094The Earthquakers

Season APEX 256Event APEX 49.14Rank 11Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 365, 5181, 8075

/ 100 compat

Projected

78.3 pts

~0.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 365, 5181, 8075

Auto

4.7 6%

Teleop

59.8 75%

Endgame

14.9 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2607, 423, 9094

/ 100 compat

Projected

222.1 pts

~2.4 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 2607, 423, 9094

Auto

22.6 10%

Teleop

121.7 55%

Endgame

78.4 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.88 · Blue 2.4

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score78.3pts

Blue projected score222.1pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample294alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 19%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -143.8
Score range: 31–269
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 464 vs event baseline 261.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

402.8Season APEX556.3

4.7Auto22.6

59.8Teleop121.7

14.9Endgame78.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	42
teleop	94	184
endgame	46	57
foul	0	0
total	181	283

Result

Final score

181 – 283

Prediction correct · off by 81.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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