FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship

Qualification · Qualification 127

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

514.15 – 209.17

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

514 – 200

Prediction correct · off by 4.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 741.5 ±9.3

103Cybersonics

Season APEX 276.7Event APEX 167.59Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

316LUNATECS

A+

Season APEX 329.3Event APEX 256.93Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5438Technological Terrors

Season APEX 135.5Event APEX 89.63Rank 20Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 406.7 ±10.4

1923The MidKnight Inventors

Season APEX 108.4Event APEX 53.61Rank 48Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

303The T.E.S.T. Team

Season APEX 178.5Event APEX 91.95Rank 41Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

25Raider Robotix

Season APEX 119.8Event APEX 63.61Rank 39Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 103, 316, 5438

/ 100 compat

Projected

514.2 pts

~2.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 103, 316, 5438

Auto

94.8 19%

Teleop

275.4 54%

Endgame

138.8 27%

Strengths

· 316 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 30%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1923, 303, 25

/ 100 compat

Projected

209.2 pts

~0.6 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1923, 303, 25

Auto

51.7 25%

Teleop

118.8 58%

Endgame

33.1 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 30%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.89 · Blue 0.58

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score514.2pts

Blue projected score209.2pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample294alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 30%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 305
Score range: 161–562
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 714 vs event baseline 263.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

741.5Season APEX406.7

94.8Auto51.7

275.4Teleop118.8

138.8Endgame33.1

110Consistency88

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	169	27
teleop	241	95
endgame	49	78
foul	55	0
total	514	200

Result

Final score

514 – 200

Prediction correct · off by 4.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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