FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship

Qualification · Qualification 126

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

149.27 – 290.45

15%85%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

129 – 269

Prediction correct · off by 20.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 224.3 ±10.4

9027PATH to Domination

Season APEX 81.2Event APEX 46.12Rank 49Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2016Mighty Monkey Wrenches

Season APEX 83.7Event APEX 74.1Rank 44Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9015Questionable Engineering

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 29.05Rank 50Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 473.3 ±9.8

56R.O.B.B.E.

Season APEX 107Event APEX 51.45Rank 40Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9094The Earthquakers

Season APEX 256Event APEX 145.43Rank 11Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6921Technados

Season APEX 110.3Event APEX 93.57Rank 24Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9027, 2016, 9015

/ 100 compat

Projected

149.3 pts

~0.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 9027, 2016, 9015

Auto

17.2 12%

Teleop

72.6 49%

Endgame

57.3 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 56, 9094, 6921

/ 100 compat

Projected

290.5 pts

~2.4 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 56, 9094, 6921

Auto

37.4 13%

Teleop

153.3 53%

Endgame

100.2 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.76 · Blue 2.36

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score149.3pts

Blue projected score290.5pts

Red win probability15%

Event bonus sample294alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 16%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -141.2
Score range: 101–338
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 398 vs event baseline 264.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

224.3Season APEX473.3

17.2Auto37.4

72.6Teleop153.3

57.3Endgame100.2

77Consistency74

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	49
teleop	53	180
endgame	46	35
foul	0	5
total	129	269

Result

Final score

129 – 269

Prediction correct · off by 20.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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