FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship

Qualification · Qualification 125

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

393.98 – 212.87

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

401 – 248

Prediction correct · off by 21.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 568 ±9.8

8513Sisters 1st

A+

Season APEX 304.2Event APEX 171.57Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1089Team Mercury

Season APEX 150Event APEX 140.24Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

365Miracle Workerz

Season APEX 113.8Event APEX 82.17Rank 26Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 435.5 ±9.3

5895Peddie Robotics

Season APEX 264.5Event APEX 175.65Rank 9Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10918Bluesteel Dragons

Season APEX 86.5Event APEX 2.22Rank 47Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4575Gemini

Season APEX 84.5Event APEX 35Rank 53Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8513, 1089, 365

/ 100 compat

Projected

394 pts

~2.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 8513, 1089, 365

Auto

82.4 21%

Teleop

217.8 55%

Endgame

93.6 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 30%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5895, 10918, 4575

/ 100 compat

Projected

212.9 pts

~0.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 5895, 10918, 4575

Auto

58.2 27%

Teleop

117.7 55%

Endgame

37.4 18%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 30%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.69 · Blue 0.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score394pts

Blue projected score212.9pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample294alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 30%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 181.1
Score range: 165–442
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 649 vs event baseline 264.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

568Season APEX435.5

82.4Auto58.2

217.8Teleop117.7

93.6Endgame37.4

59Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	109	72
teleop	269	103
endgame	23	68
foul	0	5
total	401	248

Result

Final score

401 – 248

Prediction correct · off by 21.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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