FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship

Qualification · Qualification 123

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

214.64 – 351.91

15%85%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

73 – 356

Prediction correct · off by 72.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 466.5 ±9.8

486Positronic Panthers

Season APEX 81.1Event APEX 52.07Rank 25Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2607The Fighting RoboVikings

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 99.47Rank 27Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10979Tiger Robotics

Season APEX 180.2Event APEX 63.1Rank 56Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 621.4 ±9.3

1672Robo T-Birds

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 45.8Rank 59Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

341Miss Daisy

Season APEX 278.9Event APEX 165.9Rank 6Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11MORT

Season APEX 265.4Event APEX 140.21Rank 10Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 486, 2607, 10979

/ 100 compat

Projected

214.6 pts

~0.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 486, 2607, 10979

Auto

35.1 17%

Teleop

117.5 56%

Endgame

59.0 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1672, 341, 11

/ 100 compat

Projected

351.9 pts

~2.4 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1672, 341, 11

Auto

53.5 16%

Teleop

197.1 58%

Endgame

86.5 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.82 · Blue 2.36

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score214.6pts

Blue projected score351.9pts

Red win probability15%

Event bonus sample294alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 16%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -137.3
Score range: 167–400
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 429 vs event baseline 264.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

466.5Season APEX621.4

35.1Auto53.5

117.5Teleop197.1

59Endgame86.5

110Consistency74

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	58
teleop	44	188
endgame	11	75
foul	0	35
total	73	356

Result

Final score

73 – 356

Prediction correct · off by 72.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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