FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship

Qualification · Qualification 119

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

521.76 – 149.47

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

471 – 159

Prediction correct · off by 30.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 729.1 ±9.3

2539Krypton Cougars

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 219.48Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

103Cybersonics

Season APEX 276.7Event APEX 172.28Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4285Camo-Bots

Season APEX 150.8Event APEX 130Rank 30Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 269.7 ±9.8

10949Metalheads

Season APEX 63.8Event APEX 22.25Rank 65Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2016Mighty Monkey Wrenches

Season APEX 83.7Event APEX 75.17Rank 44Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

708Hatters Robotics

Season APEX 122.2Event APEX 52.05Rank 51Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2539, 103, 4285

/ 100 compat

Projected

521.8 pts

~2.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 2539, 103, 4285

Auto

70.7 14%

Teleop

299.0 58%

Endgame

150.1 29%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 31%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10949, 2016, 708

/ 100 compat

Projected

149.5 pts

~0.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 10949, 2016, 708

Auto

14.6 10%

Teleop

88.5 60%

Endgame

44.8 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 31%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.88 · Blue 0.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score521.8pts

Blue projected score149.5pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample294alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 31%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 372.3
Score range: 101–570
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 630 vs event baseline 264.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

729.1Season APEX269.7

70.7Auto14.6

299Teleop88.5

150.1Endgame44.8

151Consistency80

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	91	28
teleop	256	63
endgame	124	68
foul	0	0
total	471	159

Result

Final score

471 – 159

Prediction correct · off by 30.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.