FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship

Qualification · Qualification 118

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

249.47 – 336.43

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

334 – 436

Prediction correct · off by 92.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 464.9 ±10.4

303The T.E.S.T. Team

Season APEX 178.5Event APEX 88.84Rank 41Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8706MXS Bulldog Bots

Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 107.11Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

75RoboRaiders

Season APEX 128.7Event APEX 53.52Rank 23Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 583.1 ±9.3

9094The Earthquakers

Season APEX 256Event APEX 137.24Rank 11Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5895Peddie Robotics

Season APEX 264.5Event APEX 165.84Rank 9Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5113Combustible Lemons

Season APEX 62.6Event APEX 33.35Rank 61Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 303, 8706, 75

/ 100 compat

Projected

249.5 pts

~1.2 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 303, 8706, 75

Auto

56.2 23%

Teleop

105.3 43%

Endgame

86.1 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9094, 5895, 5113

/ 100 compat

Projected

336.4 pts

~2.2 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 9094, 5895, 5113

Auto

60.5 18%

Teleop

189.9 56%

Endgame

88.6 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.19 · Blue 2.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score249.5pts

Blue projected score336.4pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample294alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 24%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -87
Score range: 202–383
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 770 vs event baseline 263.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

464.9Season APEX583.1

56.2Auto60.5

105.3Teleop189.9

86.1Endgame88.6

104Consistency24

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	85
teleop	165	239
endgame	94	107
foul	15	5
total	334	436

Result

Final score

334 – 436

Prediction correct · off by 92.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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