FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship

Qualification · Qualification 116

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

457.33 – 214.75

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

519 – 244

Prediction correct · off by 45.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 694.2 ±9.3

1089Team Mercury

Season APEX 150Event APEX 137.57Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1403Team 1403 Cougar Robotics

Season APEX 265.7Event APEX 174.78Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1640Sab-BOT-age

Season APEX 278.5Event APEX 144.98Rank 13Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 325.6 ±9.8

293SPIKE

Season APEX 124.2Event APEX 75.71Rank 31Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

433Firebirds

Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 70.55Rank 54Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

555Montclair Robotics

Season APEX 118.5Event APEX 68.49Rank 21Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1089, 1403, 1640

/ 100 compat

Projected

457.3 pts

~2.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1089, 1403, 1640

Auto

89.8 20%

Teleop

263.8 58%

Endgame

99.6 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 33%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 293, 433, 555

/ 100 compat

Projected

214.8 pts

~0.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 293, 433, 555

Auto

34.0 16%

Teleop

121.3 58%

Endgame

54.5 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 33%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.88 · Blue 0.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score457.3pts

Blue projected score214.8pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample294alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 33%, blue 18%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 242.6
Score range: 168–504
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 763 vs event baseline 263.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

694.2Season APEX325.6

89.8Auto34

263.8Teleop121.3

99.6Endgame54.5

99Consistency82

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	78	53
teleop	317	71
endgame	124	120
foul	0	0
total	519	244

Result

Final score

519 – 244

Prediction correct · off by 45.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.