FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship

Qualification · Qualification 112

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

204.23 – 233.03

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

186 – 332

Prediction correct · off by 58.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 367.6 ±10.4

10979Tiger Robotics

Season APEX 180.2Event APEX 64.9Rank 56Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6921Technados

Season APEX 110.3Event APEX 92.28Rank 24Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1672Robo T-Birds

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 47.05Rank 59Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 420.7 ±9.8

365Miracle Workerz

Season APEX 113.8Event APEX 74.68Rank 26Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1676The Pascack PI-oneers

Season APEX 221.2Event APEX 136.46Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10584Ridge Robotics

Season APEX 85.7Event APEX 21.89Rank 55Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10979, 6921, 1672

/ 100 compat

Projected

204.2 pts

~1.4 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 10979, 6921, 1672

Auto

23.7 12%

Teleop

103.1 52%

Endgame

72.7 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 365, 1676, 10584

/ 100 compat

Projected

233 pts

~1.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 365, 1676, 10584

Auto

52.7 23%

Teleop

117.2 50%

Endgame

62.2 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.36 · Blue 1.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score204.2pts

Blue projected score233pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample294alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 20%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -28.8
Score range: 156–281
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 518 vs event baseline 264.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

367.6Season APEX420.7

23.7Auto52.7

103.1Teleop117.2

72.7Endgame62.2

61Consistency61

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	91
teleop	92	126
endgame	57	110
foul	0	5
total	186	332

Result

Final score

186 – 332

Prediction correct · off by 58.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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