FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship

Qualification · Qualification 111

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

162.59 – 327.92

11%89%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

216 – 296

Prediction correct · off by 42.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 366.9 ±9.8

8117Easton RoboRovers

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 10.98Rank 62Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5181Explorer Robotics

Season APEX 192.2Event APEX 79.88Rank 43Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

223Xtreme Heat

Season APEX 99.2Event APEX 71.73Rank 46Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 600.7 ±9.3

10918Bluesteel Dragons

Season APEX 86.5Event APEX 8.3Rank 47Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

341Miss Daisy

Season APEX 278.9Event APEX 170.52Rank 6Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1218SCH Robotics

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 149.1Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8117, 5181, 223

/ 100 compat

Projected

162.6 pts

~0.6 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 8117, 5181, 223

Auto

29.5 18%

Teleop

65.5 41%

Endgame

66.4 41%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10918, 341, 1218

/ 100 compat

Projected

327.9 pts

~2.4 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 10918, 341, 1218

Auto

54.6 17%

Teleop

184.3 57%

Endgame

84.7 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.61 · Blue 2.43

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score162.6pts

Blue projected score327.9pts

Red win probability11%

Event bonus sample294alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -165.3
Score range: 115–376
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 512 vs event baseline 264.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

366.9Season APEX600.7

29.5Auto54.6

65.5Teleop184.3

66.4Endgame84.7

119Consistency99

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	89
teleop	116	151
endgame	80	41
foul	0	15
total	216	296

Result

Final score

216 – 296

Prediction correct · off by 42.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.