Qualification · Qualification 11
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
127 – 127
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
69 – 223
Prediction missed · off by 77 points
Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 413.6 ±9.8
Season APEX 117.3Event APEX -Rank 32Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 241.1Event APEX -Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 55.2Event APEX -Rank 66Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 492.1 ±9.3
Season APEX 84.5Event APEX -Rank 53Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 128.7Event APEX -Rank 23Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 278.9Event APEX -Rank 6Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7045, 3314, 2554
50
/ 100 compatProjected
127 pts
~1.6 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 7045, 3314, 2554
Auto
38.1 30%
Teleop
63.5 50%
Endgame
25.4 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 17%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4575, 75, 341
50
/ 100 compatProjected
127 pts
~1.6 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 4575, 75, 341
Auto
38.1 30%
Teleop
63.5 50%
Endgame
25.4 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 17%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.63 · Blue 1.59
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score127pts
Blue projected score127pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample294alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 44%, blue 44%
Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 13%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 81–173
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
413.6Season APEX492.1
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 23 | 53 |
| teleop | 30 | 116 |
| endgame | 16 | 54 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 69 | 223 |
Result
Final score
69 – 223
Prediction missed · off by 77 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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