FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship

Qualification · Qualification 108

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

427.02 – 37.83

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

376 – 35

Prediction correct · off by 26.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 659.7 ±9.3

555Montclair Robotics

Season APEX 118.5Event APEX 72.8Rank 21Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5895Peddie Robotics

Season APEX 264.5Event APEX 172.67Rank 9Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

103Cybersonics

Season APEX 276.7Event APEX 181.55Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 187.9 ±10.4

9027PATH to Domination

Season APEX 81.2Event APEX 43Rank 49Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2554The Warhawks

Season APEX 55.2Event APEX 9.34Rank 66Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7110Heights Bytes

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX -14.51Rank 63Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 555, 5895, 103

/ 100 compat

Projected

427 pts

~2.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 555, 5895, 103

Auto

78.0 18%

Teleop

257.2 61%

Endgame

89.7 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 29%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9027, 2554, 7110

/ 100 compat

Projected

37.8 pts

~0.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 9027, 2554, 7110

Auto

25.6 79%

Teleop

-4.1 0%

Endgame

11.1 34%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 29%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.84 · Blue 0.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score427pts

Blue projected score37.8pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample294alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 29%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 389.2
Score range: -9–474
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 411 vs event baseline 263.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

659.7Season APEX187.9

78Auto25.6

257.2Teleop-4.1

89.7Endgame11.1

77Consistency73

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	107	24
teleop	136	0
endgame	133	11
foul	0	0
total	376	35

Result

Final score

376 – 35

Prediction correct · off by 26.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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