FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship

Qualification · Qualification 102

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

248.01 – 258.91

47%53%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

217 – 309

Prediction correct · off by 40.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 463.4 ±9.3

1403Team 1403 Cougar Robotics

Season APEX 265.7Event APEX 181.11Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

708Hatters Robotics

Season APEX 122.2Event APEX 55.01Rank 51Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8117Easton RoboRovers

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 11.89Rank 62Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 542.1 ±9.3

1676The Pascack PI-oneers

Season APEX 221.2Event APEX 132.07Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

75RoboRaiders

Season APEX 128.7Event APEX 52.06Rank 23Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5181Explorer Robotics

Season APEX 192.2Event APEX 74.78Rank 43Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1403, 708, 8117

/ 100 compat

Projected

248 pts

~1.4 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1403, 708, 8117

Auto

51.8 21%

Teleop

131.4 53%

Endgame

64.2 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1676, 75, 5181

/ 100 compat

Projected

258.9 pts

~1.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1676, 75, 5181

Auto

57.0 22%

Teleop

129.6 50%

Endgame

72.2 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.44 · Blue 1.68

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score248pts

Blue projected score258.9pts

Red win probability47%

Event bonus sample294alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 15%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -10.9
Score range: 201–306
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 526 vs event baseline 263.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

463.4Season APEX542.1

51.8Auto57

131.4Teleop129.6

64.2Endgame72.2

140Consistency43

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	74
teleop	114	111
endgame	82	114
foul	0	10
total	217	309

Result

Final score

217 – 309

Prediction correct · off by 40.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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