FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship

Qualification · Qualification 101

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

308.08 – 159.01

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

401 – 168

Prediction correct · off by 51 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 503 ±9.8

6921Technados

Season APEX 110.3Event APEX 78.96Rank 24Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

341Miss Daisy

Season APEX 278.9Event APEX 158.1Rank 6Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

365Miracle Workerz

Season APEX 113.8Event APEX 71.02Rank 26Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 290.7 ±10.4

25Raider Robotix

Season APEX 119.8Event APEX 68.62Rank 39Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

56R.O.B.B.E.

Season APEX 107Event APEX 50.49Rank 40Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9416International Θperatives of World Affairs

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 39.9Rank 64Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6921, 341, 365

/ 100 compat

Projected

308.1 pts

~2.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6921, 341, 365

Auto

39.2 13%

Teleop

146.3 48%

Endgame

117.3 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 25, 56, 9416

/ 100 compat

Projected

159 pts

~0.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 25, 56, 9416

Auto

33.2 21%

Teleop

77.7 50%

Endgame

44.3 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.5 · Blue 0.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score308.1pts

Blue projected score159pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample294alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 18%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 149.1
Score range: 112–355
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 569 vs event baseline 263.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

503Season APEX290.7

39.2Auto33.2

146.3Teleop77.7

117.3Endgame44.3

105Consistency90

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	57	30
teleop	280	81
endgame	64	52
foul	0	5
total	401	168

Result

Final score

401 – 168

Prediction correct · off by 51 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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