FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship

Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

169.46 – 361.61

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

126 – 337

Prediction correct · off by 34 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 279.7 ±10.4

10070Ghost Bots

Season APEX 102.6Event APEX 93.42Rank 33Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1672Robo T-Birds

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 49.22Rank 59Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1712Dawgma

Season APEX 100Event APEX 26.82Rank 52Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 690.4 ±8.7

484Roboforce

Season APEX 289.7Event APEX 167.55Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1640Sab-BOT-age

Season APEX 278.5Event APEX 134.35Rank 13Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

708Hatters Robotics

Season APEX 122.2Event APEX 59.71Rank 51Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10070, 1672, 1712

/ 100 compat

Projected

169.5 pts

~0.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 10070, 1672, 1712

Auto

39.8 24%

Teleop

85.1 52%

Endgame

38.4 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 484, 1640, 708

/ 100 compat

Projected

361.6 pts

~2.6 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 484, 1640, 708

Auto

71.7 20%

Teleop

201.0 56%

Endgame

86.4 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.74 · Blue 2.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score169.5pts

Blue projected score361.6pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample294alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 21%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -192.1
Score range: 119–412
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 463 vs event baseline 277.8.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

279.7Season APEX690.4

39.8Auto71.7

85.1Teleop201

38.4Endgame86.4

35Consistency117

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	67
teleop	55	214
endgame	36	56
foul	5	0
total	126	337

Result

Final score

126 – 337

Prediction correct · off by 34 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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