Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

398.61 – 140.17

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

341 – 143

Prediction correct · off by 30.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 801 ±11.7

8069Super Hornets

Season APEX 247.9Event APEX 34.09Rank 25Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3931Cockadoodle Dominators

Season APEX 225.5Event APEX 126.56Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1706Ratchet Rockers

A+

Season APEX 327.6Event APEX 237.96Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 294.9 ±14.4

7117Robotic Dragons

Season APEX 68.4Event APEX 31.66Rank 11Record 6-3-1Status establishedConfidence 76

4256Cyborg Cats

Season APEX 149.9Event APEX 82.58Rank 4Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4329Lutheran Roboteers

Season APEX 76.6Event APEX 25.93Rank 37Record 2-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8069, 3931, 1706

/ 100 compat

Projected

398.6 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 8069, 3931, 1706

Auto

78.6 20%

Teleop

229.3 59%

Endgame

83.2 21%

Strengths

· 1706 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7117, 4256, 4329

/ 100 compat

Projected

140.2 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 7117, 4256, 4329

Auto

25.8 19%

Teleop

75.1 57%

Endgame

32.0 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.4 · Blue 0.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score398.6pts

Blue projected score140.2pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 258.4
Score range: 119–420
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 484 vs event baseline 118.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

801Season APEX294.9

78.6Auto25.8

229.3Teleop75.1

83.2Endgame32

0Consistency11

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	52	27
teleop	186	79
endgame	73	37
foul	30	0
total	341	143

Result

Final score

341 – 143

Prediction correct · off by 30.2 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.